“If you look at the data, every time the semis get this far from their 200-week moving average, a 40% drawdown follows. We’re there now,” says Gareth Soloway. In today’s interview, Soloway details his technical case for a 40% collapse in the high-flying AI trade and a deeper pullback in Bitcoin to $73,000, warning that the “de-risking playbook” is now unfolding.